My opinion:

1. ITMO

2. Peking

3. MIPT

4. Warsaw

5. Seoul

6. MSU

7. Tsinghua

8. Tokyo

9. New South Wales

10. KAIST

11. Fudan

12. Ural

1. Warsaw — ok, this is not most likely outcome, but it's definitely possible, so keep fingers crossed :)!
   
2. ITMO — 7th win in a row for Petersburg? Isn't that a bit too much? Their ratings currently are not a match for ratings of other teams but this is just a bluff, they are very strong. And ITMO, apart from high skills seems to always have a luck and problemsets their way on WFs. By the way it is the same way as in tossing coin — even if you are strong and have 50% chances of winning WFs each year it is simply not possible to win 7 times in a row, right? So they will lose this time the same way as it is not possible to get seventh head after six heads.
3. Seoul — doing very well on opencups etc. and dotorya recently does miracles on contests
4. Peking — lol, I just noted that such team exists and it seems it is very strong (sad that jiry_2 isn't there), will they have sufficient experience in team contests?
5. MSU — WFs promote experience and consistency rather than brilliance and that's why they won't win it (second place awaiting for them next year)
6. MIT — if problemset would consist of tricky mathy combinatorics ksun48 could win it all by himself. But let's be honest — it won't contain any of such kind.
7. KAIST — Go ko_osaga!
8. Tsinghua — throwing in some random Asian teams I know nothing about consisting of three reds
9. Fudan — throwing in some random Asian teams I know nothing about consisting of three reds
10. Sharif (that one with Haghani) — take your revenge for declined visas last year
11. SPbSU — it was a pleasure to try escaping from escape room with you xD
12. Bucharest — cheering for anybody from Europe \setminus Russia the same way as people support competitors from small local villages :P + I like CSAcademy

My prediction about the gold medal:

1. University of Warsaw
2. Seoul National University
3. St. Petersburg ITMO University
4. Moscow State University

BTW: I think the team members of Peking University are good actors rather than good competitors.

1. Peking University (Win: 40%, Gold: 90%, Medal: 100%)

Syloviaely is the best! PKU is the champion!

1. Moscow SU
2. ITMO
3. Seoul NU
4. Warsaw U
5. Peking U
6. MIPT
7. Tokyo U
8. Tsinghua U
9. New South Wales U
10. Fudan U
11. MIT
12. Ural FU

1. ITMO U — I believe that top-5 teams from my list are roughly the same level and all of them can be champions, but when the question is "Who will be THE first" you bet on ITMO
2. Seoul NU
3. Peking U
4. Warsaw U
5. Moscow SU — Again, top-5 should be in no particular order, but when the question is "Who won't get gold" I bet on the least stable team
6. U Tokyo
7. Moscow IPT
8. KAIST
9. MIT
10. U New South Wales
11. Tsinghua U
12. Ural FU

1. Kim Il Sung University

1. Seoul NU — They beat our team(Last year 3rd) at Regional :)
2. ITMO U
3. Moscow SU
4. Peking U
5. Warsaw U
6. U Tokyo
7. KAIST
8. Moscow IPT
9. Sharif
10. MIT
11. Tsinghua U
12. U New South Wales

Tradionally, my prediction:

1. Moscow SU. In this year they should be win.
2. ITMO
3. Warsaw U
4. Peking U
5. MIPT
6. Seoul NU
7. Tsinghua U
8. Tokyo U
9. SPb SU
10. MIT
11. Kazakh-British TU(Patriotic prediction).
12. UNIST(Another Patriotic prediction).

1. ITMO U
2. Moscow SU
3. Peking U
4. Moscow IPT
5. Seoul NU
6. Warsaw U
7. Tsinghua U
8. MIT
9. Shanghai JTU
10. U New South Wales
11. U Tokyo
12. KAIST

There is no patriotic choices, just realistic prediction:

1. Seoul National University
2. University of Warsaw
3. St. Petersburg ITMO University
4. Peking University
5. Moscow State University
6. KAIST
7. University of New South Wales
8. Kazakh-British Technical University
9. Moscow Institute of Physics & Technology
10. Vilnius University
11. University of Tokyo
12. Tsinghua University

Let me make one pretty long shot here: Universidad de Córdoba will make Top 15, maybe even Top 10. mjhun is a monster!

1. J̶i̶n̶o̶t̶e̶g̶a̶ Moscow State University
2. Seoul National University
3. Peking University
4. St. Petersburg ITMO University
5. University of Warsaw
6. Moscow Institute of Physics & Technology
7. University of Tokyo
8. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
9. Ural Federal University
10. St. Petersburg State University
11. Tsinghua University
12. KAIST

I'm a bit surprised that nobody has joked about this yet, but:

1. doesn't matter
2. Moscow SU Red Panda
3. doesn't matter
4. doesn't matter
5. doesn't matter
6. doesn't matter
7. doesn't matter
8. doesn't matter
9. doesn't matter
10. doesn't matter
11. doesn't matter
12. doesn't matter

My review of best teams (chances for medals and victory in % and the most likely absolute place with possible +/- error):

• University of New South Wales — 70/25/7/1 — 10/4
• Massachusetts Institute of Technology — 45/15/4/<1 — 13/3
• National Taiwan University — 45/10/2/<1 — 14/3
• Seoul National University — 100/75/35/12 — 4/3
• KAIST — 80/40/10/3 — 9/4
• University of Tokyo — 60/25/7/1 — 10/5
• Sharif University of Technology (from previous year) — 40/10/2/<1 — 15/6
• Tsinghua University — 50/15/4/<1 — 12/4
• Shanghai Jiao Tong University — 40/12/3/<1 — 13/4
• Peking University — 100/80/40/15 — 3/2
• Fudan University — 75/25/7/1 — 11/4
• University of Bucharest — 45/10/2/<1 — 14/4
• University of Warsaw — 100/60/25/8 — 4/3
• Ural Federal University — 55/20/4/<1 — 12/3
• St. Petersburg State University — 40/10/2/<1 — 14/3
• St. Petersburg ITMO University — 100/90/50/15 — 2/1
• Moscow State University — 100/65/25/7 — 4/3
• Moscow Institute of Physics & Technology — 90/40/10/5 — 7/4

And quite subjective prediction:

1. Peking U
2. ITMO
3. Seoul NU
4. Warsaw U
5. MSU
6. KAIST
7. MIPT
8. Wales U
9. Fudan U
10. Tokyo U
11. Ural FU
12. Tsinghua U

Easy for MSU <3 so proud of them