There were several recent developments in AI — e.g Dall-e, AlphaCode, GPT-3 or GATO, and atleast to me it seems that we are starting to approach the knee of the exponential curve. I'm curious to know what does the community think about the future developments. This is not because I want find the most accurate answer (for which other more AI oriented sites are better suited), but because in general it seems that people aren't aware of the recent developments and their implications. I don't know whether this is also true for CF community where people might have a more accurate intuition and it would be interesting to find out. I think it might be fun to see how correct/wrong codeforces predictions were after a few years.
Therefore, inspired by reddit's singularity predictions, what are your views on when/whether we'll develop: 1) Artificial General Intelligence 2) Artificial Superintelligence 3) Ultimately, when the Singularity will take place
Bonus points if you explain your reasons, but it is also great to know just your gut-feeling by writing numbers only if you aren't sure/feel like you aren't an expert on this, so that we can check back later and see how close the CF predictions were (CF should allow making polls!).
Edit: It turns out that codeforces actually allows making polls, its just not a visible feature of the editor and I missed MikeMirzayanov's blog where he announced it. Anyway let's try it again:
What is your best guess for when/whether we'll develop:
- Artificial General Intelligence
- Artificial Superintelligence
- Singularity
